Time in the Market
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CAN WE REALLY DITCH FOSSIL FUELS WHILE SAVING THE ECONOMY?

Save the Planet. The Energy Transition. Kill King Coal. Net Zero Emissions. These are the catchphrases of our time, but they’re meaningless unless backed by real action. As a global community, we pledged to phase out coal power by 2040. Europe committed to 2023, as did the U.S. and Canada. The Brits, always keen to lead, promised to end coal use by this year.

Yet, commodity traders have faced criticism for their reluctance to abandon coal. This was evident when Glencore, my former company, had shareholders vote against stepping away from coal—a decision I fully support. While the mainstream media focuses on profitability, we often overlook the immense responsibility of managing such a significant coal operation. Like their peers at Trafigura, Glencore’s role comes with heavy compliance burdens, and frankly, I’m glad Glencore has kept its well-respected hands on coal. Coal is safer in their hands.

Balancing Fossil Fuels and Renewables: The Tightrope Walk

Despite the global push for renewable energy, the reality is that oil exploration is still a critical part of our energy landscape. While protesters gather in art galleries or block major roads, fossil fuels remain in demand, driven in part by the infrastructure we, as the human race, have built on the foundation of our ever-growing economies. So, while the sluggish pace of the global energy transition continues to move as slowly as a bunch of pensioners in a bingo hall, the appetite for saving the planet takes a back seat, and saving the economy (unfortunately) becomes our focus.

But what about greener renewables like wind, solar, and hydro? I hear this across mainstream media all the time, and while I support these calls, I need the narrative to be correct. Just because they’re renewable doesn’t actually make them green. Remember, for something to be clean, something else needs to become dirty.

Energy companies recognize this ongoing demand and continue to invest in oil exploration and production to keep the lights on—literally. They’re walking a tightrope, balancing investments in renewables while still meeting the immediate global energy demands. The focus is on untapped reserves in places like deepwater offshore areas and shale formations, where advanced technology is pushing the limits of what’s possible.

The Future of Energy: Innovation, Risk, and the Role of Oil

Geopolitics also plays a big role. Countries rich in oil, especially those outside OPEC, are ramping up production to gain more control over the global market. This isn’t just about keeping prices stable; it’s about ensuring these nations can meet their own energy needs while still contributing to the global supply chain.

Technology has completely transformed how we produce oil and gas. Innovations like horizontal drilling and fracking have opened up reserves we once thought were out of reach. These advancements have led to significant increases in production, particularly in shale formations. Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) techniques have further stretched the life and output of mature fields, reducing the need for new exploration and squeezing every last drop from what we’ve already got. Add to that the integration of data analytics and AI, and you’ve got a recipe for continued success, even in the face of environmental and economic challenges.

The U.S., in particular, has seen a massive surge in oil production, thanks largely to these technological leaps. The shale boom has turned the U.S. from a major importer into one of the world’s top producers and exporters. This shift has had a ripple effect on global markets. U.S. oil helps stabilize prices and reduces our dependence on Middle Eastern oil. It’s also reshaped global trade dynamics, giving the U.S. more influence over energy prices and challenging the traditional dominance of players like OPEC.

The U.S. still has vast untapped resources, especially in shale formations like the Permian Basin and offshore in the Gulf of Mexico. These areas hold the key to long-term energy security and economic growth. As global demand for energy continues to rise, especially in developing countries, being able to access and develop these reserves ensures the U.S. can meet both domestic and international needs. This resource wealth also drives job creation, fuels technological innovation, and underpins the economic strength of the U.S. energy sector.

But let’s not ignore the environmental costs. Oil exploration and production come with serious risks, from seismic activity linked to fracking to the potential for spills and water contamination. These impacts have led to increased regulatory scrutiny and growing public opposition, particularly in sensitive areas like the Arctic. The industry is under pressure to adopt more sustainable practices, all while continuing to meet energy demands.

Oil production remains a crucial economic driver, especially in states like Texas, where it supports millions of jobs and generates substantial revenue for public services and infrastructure. This local stability also helps reduce our reliance on foreign energy sources, bolstering national security and the broader economy.

Even with the rise of renewables, oil and gas will continue to be a significant part of the global energy mix for years to come. The energy transition is a gradual process, and fossil fuels are still vital for meeting today’s energy demands. That’s why many countries and companies are pursuing a dual strategy—investing in renewables while also continuing oil exploration. The sustained demand for oil and gas ensures they’ll remain relevant, even as we slowly shift towards cleaner energy sources.

The environmental impact of oil production, particularly in terms of carbon emissions and ecological disruption, is driving major policy changes and increasing public resistance. Governments worldwide are tightening environmental regulations to reduce the industry’s carbon footprint. Public opposition is also growing, particularly in environmentally sensitive areas. The industry faces a tough challenge: how to balance the need for ongoing production with the global imperative to combat climate change and protect the environment

In the end, catchphrases like “Save the Planet” and “Net Zero Emissions” only hold weight when grounded in the realities of our energy needs. As we navigate the complex path forward, it’s clear that both coal and oil remain integral to balancing environmental goals with economic stability.

#EnergyTransition #SaveThePlanet #NetZero #ClimateAction #Sustainability #RenewableEnergy #CoalDebate #OilExploration #FossilFuels #GlobalEnergy #GreenEnergy #EconomicStability #CleanEnergy #CarbonEmissions #EnergyInnovation #TechInEnergy #OilAndGas #ShaleRevolution #EnergySecurity #EnvironmentalImpact #ClimateChange #EnergyPolicy #SustainableDevelopment #Geopolitics #EnergyStrategy #GlobalEconomy #EnergyDemand #RenewableVsFossil #EnergyBalance #FutureOfEnergy

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