Time in the Market
               Not Timing the Market

NET ZERO DREAMS TO GROUND ZERO REALITIES

We have only four summers left to reduce global emissions by 45%. Additionally, we face twenty-six winters until our pledged achievement of Net Zero. Yet, globally, our actions contradict our commitments. Wars are escalating, LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) plants are proliferating, nuclear power is resurging, and despite popular denial, coal consumption remains substantial. Concurrently, projects aimed at capturing carbon emissions are underfunded and lack the necessary focus to counteract the ongoing environmental damage.

The irony is stark , NET ZERO BY 2050 MIGHT INSTEAD RESULT IN GROUND ZERO BY 2050

This glaring contradiction in our environmental promises and actions demands an urgent redirection of focus. Imagine if, for just five years, we invested the same resources and effort into reducing emissions as we do in fueling conflicts. We could not only meet but exceed commitments like the Paris Agreement. Yet, once again, power and politics play their polluting roles.

While efforts to plant more trees are commendable, they are overshadowed by the destruction wrought by war. Forests and other ecosystems are devastated, either directly through bombing and land clearing or indirectly through increased susceptibility to fires and deforestation. This diminishes the Earth’s natural ability to absorb carbon dioxide. Forests, wetlands, and oceans, our natural carbon sinks, play a critical role in capturing and storing atmospheric carbon dioxide.

However, our efforts to replenish these sinks are outpaced by their destruction. This pattern is mirrored in our approach to pollution: the more we pollute, the less we seem inclined to invest in carbon capture technologies. Carbon credits are touted as a solution, promising significant financial returns. Yet, they lack the necessary focus, especially when compared to the fossil fuel industry, which is often at the heart of global conflict.

As nations strive for energy independence, the demand for LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) plants, increased oil drilling (notably in the United States), and nuclear energy projects is surging throughout Europe. This shift has fractured community dependencies, eroding the “pipelines of peace” that once allowed fuel to flow freely across nations. The quest for energy self-sufficiency comes at a high cost: the health of our planet.

While this blog typically covers commodities, cryptocurrency, macroeconomics, and blockchain opinions, the overwhelming threat these issues pose to humanity’s survival cannot be ignored. We might be on the brink of the greatest economic reset in history, which, in the grand scheme, seems insignificant. However, since it aligns with the focus of this blog, it warrants attention. With this perspective, keep a watchful eye on the evolving LNG market in the coming years.

Investments surpassing $235 billion are earmarked for a wave of upcoming projects in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) sector. This year marks the initiation of these endeavors, with an additional $55 billion expected to be invested by 2025. This significant infusion of capital is projected to boost LNG export capacity by a remarkable 70% by the decade’s end.

This surge in investment mirrors the industry’s anticipation of a substantial rise in global LNG demand. A key driver is Europe’s pressing search for alternatives to Russian piped gas, along with Asia’s, especially China’s, gradual shift away from coal.

Major LNG export projects, spanning from the United States to Qatar, are set to cement LNG’s position in the global energy market for the foreseeable future.

This is underscored by some purchase agreements that extend into the 2050s, overshooting the carbon-neutral targets established by various nations.

IN UNDER 30 YEARS, OUR PURSUIT OF FOSSIL FUELS, DESPITE GROWING ENVIRONMENTAL CRISES, RISKS TURNING OUR NET ZERO GOALS INTO A CATASTROPHIC GROUND ZERO REALITY. URGENT ACTION IS IMPERATIVE.

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